Matchup Machine

Sean Bouchard

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matchup for John Means

67th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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John Means

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matchup for Sean Bouchard

243rd out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Means
1

Model Prediction

Sean Bouchard has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 1.5% lower than Bouchard's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Means.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%21.1%3.9%5.5%11.7%7.5%30.0%
Bouchard-1.5+1.7+0.9+1.2-0.4-3.2-2.6
Means-2.4-3.0+0.5-1.1-2.4+0.6+9.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Sean Bouchard is worse vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bouchard doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Sean Bouchard hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
28%
   Slider (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

23.4% of Sean Bouchard's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +6.4% -0.2% 4%         Walk +6.4% -2.7% 54%         In Play -12.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base +2.5% -4.8% 31%         Hit -3.9% -2.0% 14%         Single -2.4% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years