Matchup Machine

Sean Bouchard

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Sean Bouchard

231st out of 567 (Best 42%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
1

Model Prediction

Sean Bouchard has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.1% higher than Bouchard's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%18.9%2.9%4.1%11.9%13.2%30.6%
Bouchard+2.1-0.50.0-0.2-0.2+2.6-2.1
Anderson-1.6-3.3+0.0-1.1-2.2+1.8+9.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Sean Bouchard is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bouchard doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Sean Bouchard hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

23.4% of Sean Bouchard's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +6.4% -1.9% 4%         Walk +6.4% -1.0% 54%         In Play -12.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base +2.5% -0.1% 31%         Hit -3.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -2.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.2%

History

Sean Bouchard has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.200.740.466
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-10-02Pop Out9%38%53%
2022-10-02Double10%36%54%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.