Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Riley Adams

matchup for Jared Jones

33rd out of 436 (Best 8%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Riley Adams

484th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Riley Adams has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.8% lower than Adams's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.0%	18.3%	2.1%	4.7%	11.5%	8.7%	34.8%
Adams	-2.8	-2.5	0.0	0.0	-2.4	-0.3	+6.9
Jones	-4.1	-2.5	-0.9	-0.3	-1.3	-1.6	+6.2

Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adams has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Riley Adams has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Riley Adams has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Riley Adams has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% +0.4% 4%

Walk 0.0% +0.6% 41%

In Play -4.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base -1.0% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.0% -0.8% 14%

Single -0.4% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.9%

43.0% of Riley Adams's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.9% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -11.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +2.4% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.2% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +3.7% +2.5%

25.7% of Riley Adams's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +6.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.4% +0.4%

5.6% of Riley Adams's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%