Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Bryce Miller

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Riley Adams

532nd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Extreme advantage for Miller
9

Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 4.1% lower than Adams's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.7%17.9%1.8%3.8%12.3%7.8%37.5%
Adams-4.1-2.9-0.3-0.9-1.7-1.2+9.7
Miller-3.6-2.6-0.5-0.5-1.5-1.0+7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adams has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Riley Adams has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +0.2% 4%         Walk 0.0% -2.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.3% 39%         On Base -1.0% -3.2% 31%         Hit -1.0% -0.7% 14%         Single -0.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years