Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Logan Allen

97th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Riley Adams

15th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Strong advantage for Adams
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Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.6% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%23.4%2.9%5.8%14.7%12.0%19.6%
Adams+5.6+2.6+0.8+1.0+0.8+3.0-8.2
Allen-1.7-1.1-0.9-0.1-0.1-0.6+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adams doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Riley Adams has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Changeup (L)
19%
   Cutter (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -4.2% 4%         Walk 0.0% +1.6% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.6% 39%         On Base -1.0% +1.5% 31%         Hit -1.0% -0.1% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years