Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Riley Adams

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for Riley Adams

58th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Moderate advantage for Adams

Riley Adams has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 5.0% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.7%	25.0%	1.7%	4.5%	18.8%	9.7%	18.7%
Adams	+5.0	+4.2	-0.4	-0.3	+4.8	+0.8	-9.1
Ashcraft	-2.2	-1.6	-0.6	-0.6	-0.4	-0.6	+2.4

Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adams has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Riley Adams hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Riley Adams has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Riley Adams hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% -6.0% 4%

Walk 0.0% -0.9% 41%

In Play -4.3% +6.9% 39%

On Base -1.0% +7.5% 31%

Hit -1.0% +8.4% 14%

Single -0.4% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +4.7% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -0.6%

43.0% of Riley Adams's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.9% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.6% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -11.3% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +2.4% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.2% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +3.7% -0.5%

25.7% of Riley Adams's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +6.2% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.4% -1.4%

5.6% of Riley Adams's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%