Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Jake Latz

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Riley Adams

293rd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Moderate advantage for Latz
3

Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 0.8% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%18.7%2.3%4.5%11.8%11.8%29.1%
Adams+0.8-2.1+0.2-0.2-2.1+2.9+1.3
Latz-3.9-2.2-0.4-0.3-1.4-1.8+6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Adams has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Riley Adams has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -1.3% 4%         Walk 0.0% +6.7% 41%         In Play -4.3% -5.5% 39%         On Base -1.0% +1.7% 31%         Hit -1.0% -5.1% 14%         Single -0.4% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -3.0% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years