Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Riley Adams

197th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Leans in favor of Flaherty
1

Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 0.8% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%20.7%3.0%4.8%12.9%9.8%27.5%
Adams+0.8-0.1+0.9+0.1-1.0+0.8-0.3
Flaherty-3.7-2.5-0.6-0.3-1.6-1.2+4.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Adams has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Riley Adams has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +5.8% 4%         Walk 0.0% -1.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% -4.3% 39%         On Base -1.0% -2.0% 31%         Hit -1.0% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years