Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Jose Berrios

118th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Riley Adams

162nd out of 567 (Best 29%)

Leans in favor of Adams
1

Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 2.1% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%24.1%2.1%4.9%17.1%7.7%24.8%
Adams+2.1+3.30.0+0.2+3.2-1.2-3.1
Berrios-0.5-0.6-0.9-0.3+0.5+0.1+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Adams has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Riley Adams has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% +0.7% 4%         Walk 0.0% -0.8% 41%         In Play -4.3% +0.1% 39%         On Base -1.0% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.0% +0.6% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years