Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Riley Adams

matchup for Aaron Nola

68th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Riley Adams

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Riley Adams has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.5% lower than Adams's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.2%	19.8%	2.2%	5.4%	12.2%	7.4%	35.9%
Adams	-2.5	-1.0	+0.1	+0.7	-1.8	-1.5	+8.1
Nola	-2.2	-2.5	-0.7	-0.8	-1.0	+0.3	+5.0

Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Adams has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Riley Adams hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Riley Adams hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Riley Adams hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% +6.3% 4%

Walk 0.0% -2.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base -1.0% -4.8% 31%

Hit -1.0% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

43.0% of Riley Adams's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.9% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.0% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -11.3% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +2.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.6% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +3.7% -0.7%

25.7% of Riley Adams's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +6.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.4% -0.7%

5.6% of Riley Adams's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%