Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

73rd out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Riley Adams

29th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for Adams
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Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.8% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.6%27.3%2.1%5.3%19.9%8.3%21.0%
Adams+5.8+6.50.0+0.6+6.0-0.7-6.9
Stroman-2.0-1.6-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.5+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adams has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Riley Adams has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -3.1% 4%         Walk 0.0% -0.8% 41%         In Play -4.3% +3.9% 39%         On Base -1.0% +3.0% 31%         Hit -1.0% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years