Matchup Machine

Riley Adams

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

82nd out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Riley Adams

166th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Leans in favor of Adams
1

Model Prediction

Riley Adams has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.4% higher than Adams's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%20.8%2.2%5.2%13.4%11.3%26.9%
Adams+2.40.0+0.1+0.5-0.5+2.4-1.0
Anderson-1.6-1.5-0.80.0-0.7-0.1+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Riley Adams is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Adams doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Riley Adams has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.2% of Riley Adams's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.3% -1.9% 4%         Walk 0.0% -1.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit -1.0% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years