Matchup Machine

Andruw Monasterio

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

211st out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for A. Monasterio

357th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Andruw Monasterio has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.4% higher than Monasterio's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%20.0%1.4%5.4%13.3%11.4%28.3%
Monasterio-0.4-0.4-0.7+0.6-0.3+0.0+0.4
Weathers+1.5-1.5-0.7-0.2-0.6+3.0+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Andruw Monasterio is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Monasterio doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Andruw Monasterio has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of Andruw Monasterio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.4% -2.1% 4%         Walk +1.6% -0.6% 42%         In Play -2.0% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.4% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.5%

History

Andruw Monasterio has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331100100.333
Expected From Contact →0.440.350.090.000.146
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-20Home Run35%8%57%
2024-05-20Strikeout
2024-05-20Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.