Matchup Machine

Luis Rengifo

sometext

matchup for Jack Flaherty

208th out of 436 (Best 48%)

sometext

Jack Flaherty

sometext

matchup for Luis Rengifo

146th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Rengifo
6

Model Prediction

Luis Rengifo has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.3% higher than Rengifo's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%25.5%2.2%4.1%19.2%8.6%15.4%
Rengifo+2.3+1.3+0.3-0.5+1.6+1.0-1.8
Flaherty-0.1+2.2-1.4-1.0+4.7-2.3-7.4

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Luis Rengifo is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rengifo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Luis Rengifo has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Luis Rengifo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.7% +5.8% 5%         Walk -2.1% -1.5% 35%         In Play +10.8% -4.3% 39%         On Base +5.2% -2.0% 31%         Hit +7.3% -0.5% 14%         Single +3.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.1% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.2%

History

Luis Rengifo has 5 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with 2 home runs and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual553201000.600
Expected From Contact →2.711.920.070.720.543
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-27Groundout27%72%
2024-06-27Groundout25%75%
2024-06-27Home Run94%3%3%
2023-05-04Single2%20%78%
2023-05-04Home Run98%1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.