Matchup Machine

Luis Rengifo

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matchup for A.J. Puk

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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A.J. Puk

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matchup for Luis Rengifo

523rd out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Moderate advantage for Puk
4

Model Prediction

Luis Rengifo has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 4.3% lower than Rengifo's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Puk.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.5%21.3%2.2%4.5%14.6%6.2%24.6%
Rengifo-4.3-2.9+0.3-0.2-3.0-1.4+7.5
Puk+2.9+2.6-0.4-0.1+3.1+0.3-12.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Rengifo is better vs left-handed pitching. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rengifo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Luis Rengifo has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Luis Rengifo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.7% +8.0% 5%         Walk -2.1% -1.3% 35%         In Play +10.8% -6.8% 39%         On Base +5.2% -4.0% 31%         Hit +7.3% -2.7% 14%         Single +3.5% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +4.1% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.4%

History

Luis Rengifo has 5 plate appearances against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551010100.200
Expected From Contact →0.670.140.090.440.134
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-03Double14%8%78%
2024-04-03Strikeout
2024-04-03Groundout6%93%
2022-10-04Groundout27%73%
2022-08-03Flyout11%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.