Luis Rengifo has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 4.3% lower than Rengifo's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Puk.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.5% | 21.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 24.6% |
Rengifo | -4.3 | -2.9 | +0.3 | -0.2 | -3.0 | -1.4 | +7.5 |
Puk | +2.9 | +2.6 | -0.4 | -0.1 | +3.1 | +0.3 | -12.7 |
Luis Rengifo is better vs left-handed pitching. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rengifo has a C grade vs this particular release point.
A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Luis Rengifo has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
9.4% of Luis Rengifo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Luis Rengifo has 5 plate appearances against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.67 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.44 | 0.134 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-04-03 | Double | 14% | 8% | 78% | |
2024-04-03 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-04-03 | Groundout | 6% | 93% | ||
2022-10-04 | Groundout | 27% | 73% | ||
2022-08-03 | Flyout | 11% | 89% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.