Matchup Machine

      Luis Rengifo

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      matchup for Zack Wheeler

      334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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      Zack Wheeler

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      matchup for Luis Rengifo

      534th out of 564 (Worst 5%)

      Moderate advantage for Wheeler
      5

      Model Prediction

      Luis Rengifo has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 5.1% lower than Rengifo's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Wheeler.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Luis Rengifo is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rengifo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Luis Rengifo has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      42%
         Slider (R)
      21%
         Sinker (R)
      19%
         Curve (R)
      11%

      Contact and Outcomes

      9.4% of Luis Rengifo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.7% +7.9% 5%         Walk -2.1% -2.6% 35%         In Play +10.8% -5.3% 39%         On Base +5.2% -6.2% 31%         Hit +7.3% -3.6% 14%         Single +3.5% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +4.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -1.0%

      History

      Luis Rengifo has 6 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual652002010.400
      Expected From Contact →2.650.000.312.340.531
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-01Single93%7%
      2024-05-01Lineout49%51%
      2024-05-01Walk
      2022-06-04Groundout8%92%
      2022-06-04Lineout27%9%65%
      2022-06-04Single3%77%20%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.