Matchup Machine

      Bryan De La Cruz

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      matchup for Tim Herrin

      43rd out of 436 (Best 11%)

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      Tim Herrin

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      matchup for B. De La Cruz

      439th out of 564 (Worst 22%)

      Strong advantage for Herrin
      7

      Model Prediction

      Bryan De La Cruz has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 2.3% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 5.3% lower than batters facing Herrin.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has a B- grade against left-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
      33%
         4-Seam (L)
      31%
         Curve (L)
      26%
         Sinker (L)
      10%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% +1.8% 6%         Walk -3.7% +1.9% 40%         In Play -0.2% -3.7% 39%         On Base -5.1% -3.4% 31%         Hit -1.4% -5.3% 14%         Single -0.9% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% -2.1% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.0%

      History

      Bryan De La Cruz has 2 plate appearances against Tim Herrin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221010000.500
      Expected From Contact →0.890.660.220.000.443
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-08-30Flyout99%
      2023-04-22Double66%22%12%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.