Bryan De La Cruz has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.8% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Weathers.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 26.8% | 21.2% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 32.2% |
De La Cruz | -1.8 | -0.4 | -0.8 | +1.0 | -0.7 | -1.4 | +2.3 |
Weathers | -3.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 | +0.9 | -1.2 | -2.8 | +7.4 |
Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Bryan De La Cruz has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.36 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.454 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-05-30 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-05-30 | Home Run | 100% | |||
2023-05-30 | Single | 36% | 64% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.