Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bryan De La Cruz

matchup for C. Hernandez

142nd out of 436 (Best 33%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for B. De La Cruz

156th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Leans in favor of De La Cruz

Bryan De La Cruz has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.5% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	21.2%	4.1%	6.4%	10.7%	8.0%	28.5%
De La Cruz	+0.5	-0.5	+1.3	+0.9	-2.7	+1.0	-1.4
Hernandez	-3.1	-0.3	+1.1	+0.5	-1.9	-2.8	+4.6

Bryan De La Cruz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. De La Cruz has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Bryan De La Cruz has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Bryan De La Cruz hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% -1.8% 6%

Walk -3.7% +2.0% 40%

In Play -0.2% -0.2% 39%

On Base -5.1% +0.9% 31%

Hit -1.4% -1.1% 14%

Single -0.9% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.9% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.6%

32.7% of Bryan De La Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.7% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.3% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +3.3% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.4% +4.2% 3%

Pop up -1.1% +2.7%

25.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.2% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.4% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% -0.9%

12.0% of Bryan De La Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.7% -6.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% +0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.6% -2.5% 18%

7 to 18° +2.8% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.2% +1.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% +2.0% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% +5.4%

Bryan De La Cruz has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.73	0.00	0.00	0.72			0.363

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Forceout			10%	90%
2023-06-05	Lineout			62%	37%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe