Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Bryan De La Cruz

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

41st out of 436 (Best 10%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for B. De La Cruz

133rd out of 567 (Best 24%)

Moderate advantage for De La Cruz

Bryan De La Cruz has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 4.5% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.0%	24.9%	1.9%	5.2%	17.9%	8.1%	23.2%
De La Cruz	+4.5	+3.3	-0.9	-0.3	+4.5	+1.1	-6.7
Ashcraft	-3.8	-1.6	-0.4	+0.1	-1.3	-2.2	+6.9

Bryan De La Cruz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. De La Cruz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has a D+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Bryan De La Cruz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Bryan De La Cruz has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% -6.0% 6%

Walk -3.7% -0.9% 40%

In Play -0.2% +6.9% 39%

On Base -5.1% +7.5% 31%

Hit -1.4% +8.4% 14%

Single -0.9% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.9% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.6%

32.7% of Bryan De La Cruz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.7% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.3% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner +3.3% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.4% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -1.1% -0.5%

25.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.2% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.4% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.6% -1.4%

12.0% of Bryan De La Cruz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.7% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.6% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +2.8% 0.0% 15%

19 to 28° +1.2% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° -1.5% -1.1%

Bryan De La Cruz has 12 plate appearances against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 12 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	1	0	1	0	5	0	0.083
Expected From Contact →			1.66	0.00	0.38	1.28			0.138

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-09	Groundout			44%	56%
2023-08-09	Strikeout
2023-08-09	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-05-12	Double		38%	11%	51%
2023-05-12	Strikeout
2023-05-12	Flyout				99%
2022-08-02	Groundout			4%	96%
2022-08-02	Groundout			10%	90%
2022-08-02	Strikeout
2022-07-28	Strikeout
2022-07-28	Strikeout
2022-07-28	Groundout			51%	49%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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