Matchup Machine

      Bryan De La Cruz

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      matchup for Zac Gallen

      74th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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      Zac Gallen

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      matchup for B. De La Cruz

      296th out of 564 (Worst 48%)

      Moderate advantage for Gallen
      4

      Model Prediction

      Bryan De La Cruz has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 1.0% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 3.9% lower than batters facing Gallen.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Bryan De La Cruz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. De La Cruz has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      49%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      23%
         Changeup (R)
      14%
         Cutter (R)
      10%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.2% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.4% +3.5% 6%         Walk -3.9% -0.3% 40%         In Play -0.5% -3.2% 39%         On Base -5.7% -1.9% 31%         Hit -1.9% -1.6% 14%         Single -1.1% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.1%

      History

      Bryan De La Cruz has 9 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual992002100.222
      Expected From Contact →2.630.000.252.390.293
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-24Flyout100%
      2024-05-24Groundout11%8%81%
      2024-05-24Single80%20%
      2023-05-08Groundout10%90%
      2023-05-08Groundout2%64%33%
      2023-05-08Flyout1%98%
      2023-04-16Groundout11%89%
      2023-04-16Single10%64%26%
      2023-04-16Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.