Matchup Machine

Bryan De La Cruz

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matchup for Austin Gomber

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for B. De La Cruz

27th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Strong advantage for De La Cruz
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Model Prediction

Bryan De La Cruz has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.6% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%27.0%4.1%7.7%15.2%4.2%22.0%
De La Cruz+2.6+5.4+1.3+2.3+1.8-2.8-7.9
Gomber-0.5+1.1+0.8+1.1-0.7-1.6+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -3.3% 6%         Walk -3.7% -2.5% 40%         In Play -0.2% +5.9% 39%         On Base -5.1% +0.6% 31%         Hit -1.4% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.9% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.3%

History

Bryan De La Cruz has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.100.010.080.010.052
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-23Flyout99%
2023-05-23Lineout7%91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.