Bryan De La Cruz has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.6% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Gomber.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 31.2% | 27.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 22.0% |
De La Cruz | +2.6 | +5.4 | +1.3 | +2.3 | +1.8 | -2.8 | -7.9 |
Gomber | -0.5 | +1.1 | +0.8 | +1.1 | -0.7 | -1.6 | +4.2 |
Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Bryan De La Cruz has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.10 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.052 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-05-23 | Flyout | 99% | |||
2023-05-23 | Lineout | 7% | 91% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.