Bryan De La Cruz has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 1.1% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Sale.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.5% | 21.5% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 35.6% |
De La Cruz | -1.1 | -0.1 | -0.8 | +1.0 | -0.3 | -1.0 | +5.7 |
Sale | -2.1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | +0.7 | -1.4 | -1.3 | +4.1 |
Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Bryan De La Cruz has 3 plate appearances against Chris Sale in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.32 | 0.81 | 0.49 | 0.02 | 0.439 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-04-13 | Flyout | 7% | 23% | 68% | |
2024-04-13 | Double | 73% | 26% | 1% | |
2024-04-13 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.