Matchup Machine

Bryan De La Cruz

sometext

matchup for Chris Sale

161st out of 436 (Best 38%)

sometext

Chris Sale

sometext

matchup for B. De La Cruz

413th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Strong advantage for Sale
6

Model Prediction

Bryan De La Cruz has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 1.1% lower than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Sale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.5%21.5%2.0%6.5%13.0%6.0%35.6%
De La Cruz-1.1-0.1-0.8+1.0-0.3-1.0+5.7
Sale-2.1-0.70.0+0.7-1.4-1.3+4.1

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
39%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% +11.2% 6%         Walk -3.7% -2.1% 40%         In Play -0.2% -9.1% 39%         On Base -5.1% -4.6% 31%         Hit -1.4% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.9% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.6%

History

Bryan De La Cruz has 3 plate appearances against Chris Sale in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →1.320.810.490.020.439
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-13Flyout7%23%68%
2024-04-13Double73%26%1%
2024-04-13Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.