Matchup Machine

Bryan De La Cruz

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matchup for Wade Miley

155th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Wade Miley

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matchup for B. De La Cruz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for De La Cruz
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Model Prediction

Bryan De La Cruz has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 5.4% higher than De La Cruz's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Miley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%26.3%3.5%5.9%16.9%7.7%22.0%
De La Cruz+5.4+4.6+0.7+0.4+3.5+0.7-7.9
Miley-2.5-0.6+0.6+1.0-2.1-1.9+4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Bryan De La Cruz is better vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. De La Cruz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Bryan De La Cruz hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (L)
44%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   4-Seam (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Bryan De La Cruz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -1.5% 6%         Walk -3.7% +0.0% 40%         In Play -0.2% +1.5% 39%         On Base -5.1% -0.5% 31%         Hit -1.4% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.9% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.2%

History

Bryan De La Cruz has 2 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100100.500
Expected From Contact →0.980.740.240.000.488
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-19Home Run74%24%2%
2022-09-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.