Matchup Machine

Yandy Diaz

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

417th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Yandy Diaz

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Diaz
10

Model Prediction

Yandy Diaz has a 43.5% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 7.4% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 6.4% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction43.5%24.3%2.4%5.9%16.1%19.2%14.2%
Diaz+7.4-0.6+0.0+0.7-1.3+8.0-1.1
Sasaki+6.4+1.6-0.7-0.3+2.7+4.8-8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Yandy Diaz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Diaz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Yandy Diaz has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Yandy Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -4.7% 4%         Walk 0.0% +27.6% 36%         In Play +9.9% -23.0% 39%         On Base +9.3% +14.9% 31%         Hit +9.4% -12.8% 14%         Single +4.5% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.8% -6.7% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -3.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years