Matchup Machine

Yandy Diaz

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matchup for S. Woods Rich.

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Simeon Woods Rich.

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matchup for Yandy Diaz

59th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Extreme advantage for Diaz
10

Model Prediction

Yandy Diaz has a 40.9% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 4.7% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 6.8% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.9%29.2%2.3%5.5%21.4%11.6%12.8%
Diaz+4.7+4.3-0.1+0.3+4.1+0.4-2.5
Woods Rich.+6.8+4.8-1.1+0.5+5.4+2.1-8.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Yandy Diaz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Diaz has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Yandy Diaz has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Yandy Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -3.3% 4%         Walk 0.0% +1.1% 36%         In Play +9.9% +2.2% 39%         On Base +9.3% +4.2% 31%         Hit +9.4% +3.1% 14%         Single +4.5% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.8% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.0% +1.0%

History

Yandy Diaz has 6 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual661010200.167
Expected From Contact →0.860.230.540.090.143
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-02Flyout7%92%
2024-09-02Pop Out100%
2024-09-02Strikeout
2024-06-20Flyout3%96%
2024-06-20Strikeout
2024-06-20Double23%50%1%26%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.