Matchup Machine

Yandy Diaz

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matchup for Erick Fedde

388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Erick Fedde

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matchup for Yandy Diaz

347th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Strong advantage for Diaz
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Model Prediction

Yandy Diaz has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 1.1% lower than Diaz's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Fedde.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%24.7%2.1%5.3%17.4%10.3%12.6%
Diaz-1.1-0.2-0.3+0.0+0.0-0.9-2.8
Fedde+2.9+1.8-0.5-0.1+2.4+1.1-6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Yandy Diaz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Diaz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Yandy Diaz has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Changeup (R)
8%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Yandy Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -0.7% 4%         Walk 0.0% -1.3% 36%         In Play +9.9% +2.1% 39%         On Base +9.3% +0.7% 31%         Hit +9.4% +2.1% 14%         Single +4.5% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.8% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.0% 0.0%

History

Yandy Diaz has 7 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual771001300.143
Expected From Contact →0.520.120.150.260.074
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-07Single18%82%
2024-08-07Strikeout
2024-08-07Flyout11%11%78%
2024-04-28Strikeout
2024-04-28Strikeout
2024-04-28Groundout7%92%
2024-04-28Flyout3%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.