Matchup Machine

Yandy Diaz

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

419th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Yandy Diaz

134th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Extreme advantage for Diaz
10

Model Prediction

Yandy Diaz has a 40.3% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 4.1% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 5.0% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.3%27.7%2.0%4.7%21.1%12.5%15.0%
Diaz+4.1+2.8-0.3-0.6+3.7+1.3-0.4
Bassitt+5.0+3.5-0.3-0.5+4.2+1.6-8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Yandy Diaz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Diaz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Yandy Diaz has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Yandy Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -0.4% 4%         Walk 0.0% +0.1% 36%         In Play +9.9% +0.3% 39%         On Base +9.3% +1.5% 31%         Hit +9.4% +1.4% 14%         Single +4.5% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.8% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.4%

History

Yandy Diaz has 12 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 11 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual12112002210.182
Expected From Contact →1.550.000.331.220.141
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-17GIDP43%57%
2024-05-17Single19%81%
2024-05-17Flyout100%
2024-03-29Single19%81%
2024-03-29Strikeout
2024-03-29Fielders Choice4%96%
2023-09-22Strikeout
2023-09-22Groundout16%84%
2023-09-22Groundout29%7%65%
2023-05-22Groundout14%86%
2023-05-22Walk
2023-05-22Flyout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.