Matchup Machine

Yandy Diaz

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matchup for Austin Gomber

425th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Yandy Diaz

70th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Extreme advantage for Diaz
10

Model Prediction

Yandy Diaz has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.2% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%29.7%3.0%8.8%17.9%6.3%10.6%
Diaz-0.2+4.7+0.6+3.5+0.6-4.9-4.7
Gomber+4.2+3.8-0.4+2.1+2.0+0.5-7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Yandy Diaz is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Diaz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Yandy Diaz has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Yandy Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -3.3% 4%         Walk 0.0% -2.5% 36%         In Play +9.9% +5.9% 39%         On Base +9.3% +0.6% 31%         Hit +9.4% +3.1% 14%         Single +4.5% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +4.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.0% +0.3%

History

Yandy Diaz has 6 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual642002020.500
Expected From Contact →2.420.000.521.900.605
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-05Walk
2024-04-05Single2%90%8%
2024-04-05Groundout50%23%27%
2023-08-23Walk
2023-08-23Groundout14%86%
2023-08-23Single62%38%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.