Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Yandy Diaz

matchup for Miles Mikolas

316th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Miles Mikolas

matchup for Yandy Diaz

348th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Strong advantage for Diaz

Yandy Diaz has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 2.8% lower than Diaz's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	28.3%	2.7%	6.6%	19.1%	5.1%	15.0%
Diaz	-2.8	+3.3	+0.3	+1.3	+1.7	-6.2	-0.3
Mikolas	+1.2	+0.2	-0.6	0.0	+0.8	+1.0	-5.6

Yandy Diaz is worse vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Diaz has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Yandy Diaz has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

27%

Slider (R)

26%

Sinker (R)

23%

Curve (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Yandy Diaz has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Yandy Diaz has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Extreme Drop 18%

+13%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

8.8% of Yandy Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% -3.3% 4%

Walk 0.0% -3.9% 36%

In Play +9.9% +7.2% 39%

On Base +9.3% -0.6% 31%

Hit +9.4% +3.3% 14%

Single +4.5% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +4.8% +1.8% 3%

Home Run +0.0% +0.0%

45.0% of Yandy Diaz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.6% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +10.6% +4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.8% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.4% -3.7% 3%

Pop up -1.4% -0.2%

33.2% of Yandy Diaz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.9% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.7% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.2% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +8.9% +1.1%

6.7% of Yandy Diaz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +11.6% +0.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° +0.0% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° -1.1% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° -4.8% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° -2.4% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° -3.5% -2.1%

Yandy Diaz has 6 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	3	0	0	3	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			2.65	0.00	0.77	1.88			0.441

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-08	Single		1%	45%	54%
2023-08-08	Single		75%	6%	19%
2023-08-08	Single			74%	26%
2022-06-09	Strikeout
2022-06-09	Groundout			8%	92%
2022-06-09	Pop Out			56%	44%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe