Matchup Machine

Gleyber Torres

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matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Brandon Pfaadt

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matchup for Gleyber Torres

297th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Strong advantage for Torres
7

Model Prediction

Gleyber Torres has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 0.8% higher than Torres's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Pfaadt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%24.6%3.2%4.4%17.0%11.2%23.5%
Torres+0.8+1.8+0.6-0.5+1.7-1.0+5.0
Pfaadt+3.4+0.1+0.0-0.9+0.9+3.3-5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Gleyber Torres is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Torres has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Gleyber Torres has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Gleyber Torres's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.9% +1.2% 3%         Walk +2.8% -2.4% 37%         In Play +5.2% +1.2% 39%         On Base +4.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.0% +2.4% 14%         Single +1.2% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +0.9% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +1.0%

History

Gleyber Torres has 3 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.090.000.010.090.031
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-22Groundout9%91%
2023-09-22Strikeout
2023-09-22Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.