Matchup Machine

Gleyber Torres

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matchup for Bryce Miller

392nd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Gleyber Torres

496th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Leans in favor of Torres
2

Model Prediction

Gleyber Torres has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.9% lower than Torres's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%20.7%2.4%4.6%13.7%11.4%22.6%
Torres-2.9-2.1-0.2-0.2-1.6-0.8+4.1
Miller+2.9+0.3+0.1+0.30.0+2.7-7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Gleyber Torres is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Torres has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Gleyber Torres has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Gleyber Torres's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.9% +0.2% 3%         Walk +2.8% -2.5% 37%         In Play +5.2% +2.3% 39%         On Base +4.7% -3.2% 31%         Hit +2.0% -0.7% 14%         Single +1.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.5%

History

Gleyber Torres has 8 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual882002200.250
Expected From Contact →2.370.060.661.660.297
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-18Lineout16%30%54%
2024-09-18Groundout6%94%
2024-09-18Lineout6%31%2%61%
2024-05-22Strikeout
2024-05-22Strikeout
2023-05-29Single16%37%47%
2023-05-29Single2%91%8%
2023-05-29Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.