Matchup Machine

Gleyber Torres

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matchup for A.J. Puk

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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A.J. Puk

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matchup for Gleyber Torres

545th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Moderate advantage for Puk
3

Model Prediction

Gleyber Torres has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 5.8% lower than Torres's typical expectations, and 4.6% higher than batters facing Puk.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.2%20.7%2.6%5.1%12.9%8.6%28.8%
Torres-5.8-2.1+0.1+0.3-2.4-3.7+10.3
Puk+4.6+1.9+0.0+0.5+1.4+2.7-8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Gleyber Torres is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Torres has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Gleyber Torres has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Gleyber Torres's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.9% +8.0% 3%         Walk +2.8% -1.3% 37%         In Play +5.2% -6.8% 39%         On Base +4.7% -4.0% 31%         Hit +2.0% -2.7% 14%         Single +1.2% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.4%

History

Gleyber Torres has 4 plate appearances against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.020.000.007
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-09Flyout1%98%
2024-04-09Flyout100%
2024-04-09Flyout100%
2022-08-27Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.