Matchup Machine

Gleyber Torres

Worst 10% of matchups for Yusei Kikuchi

Yusei Kikuchi

Worst 37% of matchups for Gleyber Torres

Moderate advantage for Torres

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.3%	4.5%	14.4%	9.4%	23.0%
MLB (+/-)	+0.5	+0.2	+0.5	-0.3	-2.2
Torres	+0.3	+0.1	+0.7	-0.9	+3.2
Kikuchi	+0.4	+0.2	-0.5	+1.3	-6.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.3%

4.5%

14.4%

9.4%

23.0%

MLB (+/-)

+0.5

+0.2

+0.5

-0.3

-2.2

Torres

+0.3

+0.1

+0.7

-0.9

+3.2

Kikuchi

+0.4

+0.2

-0.5

+1.3

-6.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	18	17	7	1	2	4	1	1	.412
Expected From Contact →			7.02	1.91	1.68	3.42			.413

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	GIDP			16%	84%
2023-09-19	Double		52%	5%	43%
2023-04-21	Walk
2023-04-21	Groundout			29%	71%
2023-04-21	Pop Out				99%
2022-08-18	Flyout		7%	2%	91%
2022-06-19	Home Run	91%	6%		2%
2022-06-19	Single		3%	71%	26%
2022-06-19	Pickoff 1B
2022-05-10	Flyout	78%			21%
2022-05-10	Lineout		3%	4%	94%
2022-04-12	Strikeout
2022-04-12	Single		5%	69%	26%
2021-08-08	Double	3%	35%	34%	29%
2021-08-08	Single		2%	74%	24%
2021-07-07	Groundout			10%	89%
2021-07-07	Flyout	18%	13%		68%
2021-07-07	Single		40%	29%	31%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	46%	96	RHB vs LHP	88	79%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

46%

RHB vs LHP

79%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
31%	66	Breaking	69	45%
54%	71	Fastball	89	45%
9%	62	Offspeed	52	10%
		------------------
56%	77	Four-Seam FB	69	45%
48%	68	Slider	39	27%
34%	44	Curveball	80	18%
45%	63	Changeup	45	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

31%

Breaking

45%

54%

Fastball

45%

Offspeed

10%

------------------

56%

Four-Seam FB

45%

48%

Slider

27%

34%

Curveball

18%

45%

Changeup

10%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	64%	36	Bottom of zone	69	14%
	61%	68	Away / Arm Side	100	11%
	78%	67	Top of zone	77	10%
	59%	58	In / Glove Side	67	10%
⭐	74%	87	Middle	37	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

64%

Bottom of zone

14%

61%

Away / Arm Side

100

11%

78%

Top of zone

10%

59%

In / Glove Side

10%

⭐

74%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
35%	58	Below the zone	90	35%
22%	36	Away / Arm Side	52	27%
41%	55	In / Glove Side	121	24%	⭐⭐
42%	84	Above the zone	74	23%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

35%

Below the zone

35%

22%

Away / Arm Side

27%

41%

In / Glove Side

121

24%

⭐⭐

42%

Above the zone

23%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	52%	91	Batter Behind	79	30%
	63%	105	2 Strikes	67	30%
	49%	90	Batter Ahead	84	26%
	39%	37	First Pitch	82	25%	⭐
	60%	109	3 Balls	75	7%
⭐⭐	79%	121	Full Count	57	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

Batter Behind

30%

63%

105

2 Strikes

30%

49%

Batter Ahead

26%

39%

First Pitch

25%

⭐

60%

109

3 Balls

⭐⭐

79%

121

Full Count