Matchup Machine

Eloy Jimenez

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matchup for Michael Wacha

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Eloy Jimenez

233rd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Leans in favor of Jimenez
1

Model Prediction

Eloy Jimenez has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.2% higher than Jimenez's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%25.2%1.6%5.0%18.6%5.4%17.5%
Jimenez+0.2+1.6+0.0+0.2+1.3-1.4-3.0
Wacha-0.6+2.1-1.2-0.1+3.3-2.6-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Eloy Jimenez is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Jimenez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Eloy Jimenez has a C grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Eloy Jimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% +0.4% 5%         Walk -2.1% -2.0% 37%         In Play +7.1% +1.5% 39%         On Base +3.1% -3.0% 31%         Hit +5.2% -1.0% 14%         Single +2.9% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.1%

History

Eloy Jimenez has 9 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 8 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual981001210.125
Expected From Contact →0.550.000.050.500.069
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-19Groundout2%11%87%
2024-07-19Single32%68%
2024-07-19Strikeout
2024-04-17Flyout1%1%98%
2024-04-17Walk
2024-04-17Groundout3%96%
2023-09-30Flyout100%
2023-09-30Strikeout
2023-09-30Pop Out3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.