Matchup Machine

Eloy Jimenez

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

105th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Eloy Jimenez

12th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Strong advantage for Jimenez
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Model Prediction

Eloy Jimenez has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.6% higher than Jimenez's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%30.0%1.4%5.7%22.9%6.0%15.5%
Jimenez+5.6+6.4-0.2+0.9+5.6-0.8-5.0
Stroman-1.6+1.2-1.3-0.1+2.6-2.8-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Eloy Jimenez is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jimenez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Eloy Jimenez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Eloy Jimenez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.0% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.1% -0.8% 37%         In Play +7.1% +3.9% 39%         On Base +3.1% +3.0% 31%         Hit +5.2% +3.8% 14%         Single +2.9% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -1.1%

History

Eloy Jimenez has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011100.667
Expected From Contact →1.440.000.550.880.479
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-26Strikeout
2023-07-26Single8%83%9%
2023-07-26Double47%6%48%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.