Matchup Machine

Luis Arraez

Worst 23% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Worst 29% of matchups for Luis Arraez

Strong advantage for Arraez

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.1%	4.9%	20.1%	4.8%	7.8%
MLB (+/-)	-0.7	+0.6	+6.1	-5.0	-17.4
Arraez	-0.1	-0.3	+0.7	-2.1	-4.8
Gomber	-1.1	+0.5	+3.8	-3.1	-8.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.1%

4.9%

20.1%

4.8%

7.8%

MLB (+/-)

-0.7

+0.6

+6.1

-5.0

-17.4

Arraez

-0.1

-0.3

+0.7

-2.1

-4.8

Gomber

-1.1

+0.5

+3.8

-3.1

-8.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			1.08	0.00	0.33	0.75			.270

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-23	Lineout		31%	4%	64%
2023-05-23	Lineout			70%	29%
2023-05-23	Pop Out				99%
2022-06-26	Pop Out				100%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	55%	97	LHB vs LHP	22	20%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

55%

LHB vs LHP

20%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	54%	111	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	17%	85	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐⭐	10%	106	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	54%	114	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
	53%	51	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	57%	109	Changeup	0	18%
	46%	42	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

54%

111

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

17%

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐⭐

10%

106

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

54%

114

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

53%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

57%

109

Changeup

18%

46%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	58%	88	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
	69%	54	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	69%	103	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐	83%	96	Middle	45	7%
	74%	70	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

58%

Away / Glove Side

17%

69%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

69%

103

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐

83%

Middle

74%

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	32%	43	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
⭐⭐	40%	125	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐⭐	42%	116	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐	59%	72	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

32%

Away / Glove Side

34%

⭐⭐

40%

125

Below the zone

30%

⭐⭐

42%

116

Above the zone

24%

⭐

59%

In / Arm Side

10%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	27%	48	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	65%	125	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	57%	90	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	76%	125	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	69%	30	3 Balls	2	8%
	88%	42	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

27%

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

65%

125

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

57%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

76%

125

2 Strikes

-23

26%

69%

3 Balls

88%

Full Count

-9