Luis Arraez has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 0.3% higher than Arraez's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Stripling.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.2% | 31.1% | 1.2% | 6.0% | 23.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% |
Arraez | +0.3 | +2.6 | -0.2 | +0.0 | +2.7 | -2.3 | -3.3 |
Stripling | -0.7 | +2.1 | -1.4 | 0.0 | +3.5 | -2.8 | -9.1 |
Luis Arraez is better vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arraez has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Luis Arraez has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
1.9% of Luis Arraez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Luis Arraez has 1 plate appearance against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.93 | 0.932 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-04-18 | Single | 93% | 7% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.