Matchup Machine

Luis Arraez

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matchup for Ross Stripling

205th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Ross Stripling

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matchup for Luis Arraez

210th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Extreme advantage for Arraez
9

Model Prediction

Luis Arraez has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 0.3% higher than Arraez's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Stripling.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%31.1%1.2%6.0%23.9%3.1%3.8%
Arraez+0.3+2.6-0.2+0.0+2.7-2.3-3.3
Stripling-0.7+2.1-1.40.0+3.5-2.8-9.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Arraez is better vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arraez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Luis Arraez has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Kn-Curve (R)
16%
   Sinker (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

1.9% of Luis Arraez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 21.4% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout -21.4% +3.2% 7%         Walk -5.7% -2.9% 29%         In Play +27.1% -0.3% 39%         On Base +11.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit +16.9% -0.9% 14%         Single +9.5% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +9.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.0% -0.1%

History

Luis Arraez has 1 plate appearance against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.000.930.932
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-18Single93%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.