Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Naylor

matchup for Roki Sasaki

391st out of 436 (Worst 11%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Josh Naylor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Naylor

Josh Naylor has a 40.1% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 7.6% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	40.1%	23.9%	3.0%	7.1%	13.9%	16.2%	17.7%
Naylor	+7.6	+0.3	+0.6	+1.8	-2.1	+7.3	-1.5
Sasaki	+3.0	+1.2	-0.1	+0.8	+0.5	+1.8	-4.9

Josh Naylor is better vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Naylor has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% -4.7% 4%

Walk +0.4% +27.6% 37%

In Play +6.8% -23.0% 39%

On Base +0.5% +14.9% 31%

Hit +0.1% -12.8% 14%

Single -0.4% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -6.7% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -3.1%

35.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.7% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +15.2%

29.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -24.3%

10.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%