Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Naylor

matchup for Zach Penrod

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Zach Penrod

matchup for Josh Naylor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Naylor

Josh Naylor has a 37.9% chance of reaching base vs Zach Penrod, which is 5.4% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Penrod.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.9%	24.2%	2.9%	6.1%	15.1%	13.7%	17.8%
Naylor	+5.4	+0.5	+0.5	+0.9	-0.8	+4.8	-1.4
Penrod	+2.9	+2.2	-0.1	+0.4	+1.8	+0.7	-5.3

Josh Naylor is worse vs left-handed pitching. Zach Penrod is left handed .

Zach Penrod throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Changeup (L)

30%

Slider (L)

24%

17% of Zach Penrod's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 17%

+5%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 2%

-3%

Edge Painter 12%

-6%

38% of Zach Penrod's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 38%

+25%

Fast Velo 34%

+24%

Medium Break 37%

+18%

Offspeed (L) 30%

+18%

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Zach Penrod strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% -10.5% 4%

Walk +0.4% +13.9% 37%

In Play +6.8% -3.4% 39%

On Base +0.5% +6.9% 31%

Hit +0.1% -7.0% 14%

Single -0.4% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -1.8% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -2.9%

35.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Zach Penrod induces Standard Grounders at a 42.4% rate, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% +8.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.7% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +7.7%

29.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 19.0% of batted balls allowed by Zach Penrod are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +5.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% -3.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -5.3%

10.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Zach Penrod are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%