Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Naylor

matchup for Penn Murfee

364th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Penn Murfee

matchup for Josh Naylor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Naylor

Josh Naylor has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 0.2% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Murfee.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.2%	21.9%	2.1%	4.8%	15.1%	10.3%	22.1%
Naylor	-0.2	-1.7	-0.3	-0.5	-0.9	+1.5	+2.9
Murfee	+2.3	+2.2	-0.4	+0.6	+2.1	+0.1	-5.6

Josh Naylor is better vs right-handed pitching. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Naylor has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Josh Naylor has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

4-Seam (R)

41%

Sinker (R)

14% of Penn Murfee's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

38% of Penn Murfee's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 38%

+33%

Extreme Slow Velo 35%

+30%

Breaking (R) 53%

+22%

Just Gravity 34%

+21%

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +8.1% 4%

Walk +0.4% -1.7% 37%

In Play +6.8% -6.4% 39%

On Base +0.5% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.1% -3.1% 14%

Single -0.4% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -3.0%

35.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Penn Murfee induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% -0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.7% -5.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +4.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% +1.8% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +2.9%

29.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 14.5% of batted balls allowed by Penn Murfee are hit at above 100 mph, which is 9.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +12.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -9.8%

10.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 15.2% of batted balls allowed by Penn Murfee are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.4% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.1% -1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.6% -1.1% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% -3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.0% +1.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.9% +3.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.9% -0.4% 8%

Above 50° +1.3% +3.8%

Josh Naylor has 3 plate appearances against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.15	0.00	0.09	0.06			0.050

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-09	Groundout			2%	97%
2023-04-07	Double Play
2022-08-26	Forceout		8%	4%	88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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