Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Naylor

matchup for Garrett Crochet

379th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Garrett Crochet

matchup for Josh Naylor

486th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Crochet

Josh Naylor has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.5% lower than Naylor's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Crochet.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	24.3%	2.2%	6.0%	16.1%	5.7%	27.4%
Naylor	-2.5	+0.7	-0.2	+0.8	+0.1	-3.2	+8.3
Crochet	+2.5	+3.3	-0.3	+1.0	+2.6	-0.9	-7.9

Josh Naylor is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Naylor has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

58%

Cutter (L)

18%

Slider (L)

16%

Changeup (L)

9% of Garrett Crochet's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

34% of Garrett Crochet's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 34%

+30%

Fastball (L) 78%

+23%

Medium Break 34%

+15%

Medium Ride 26%

+12%

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +9.4% 4%

Walk +0.4% -1.3% 37%

In Play +6.8% -8.1% 39%

On Base +0.5% -3.9% 31%

Hit +0.1% -2.5% 14%

Single -0.4% -1.4% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +0.1%

35.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet induces Standard Grounders at a 38.5% rate, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% +4.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.7% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% +1.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% -1.1% 3%

Pop up +0.6% -0.4%

29.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Crochet are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +2.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% -3.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% +2.8%

10.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 12.3% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Crochet are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.4% +4.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.1% -1.7% 8%

1 to 6° +0.6% +1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% -3.3% 15%

19 to 28° -1.0% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.9% +0.8% 7%

39 to 50° -0.9% -0.7% 8%

Above 50° +1.3% -0.5%

Josh Naylor has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.55	0.00	0.00	0.55			0.185

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-10	Strikeout
2024-05-10	Single			47%	53%
2024-05-10	Groundout			8%	92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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