Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Naylor

matchup for Sean Reynolds

282nd out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Sean Reynolds

matchup for Josh Naylor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Reynolds

Josh Naylor has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 0.7% lower than Naylor's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Reynolds.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	20.6%	2.2%	4.9%	13.6%	11.1%	28.2%
Naylor	-0.7	-3.0	-0.2	-0.3	-2.4	+2.3	+9.0
Reynolds	+0.5	+1.2	-0.5	+0.1	+1.6	-0.8	-3.9

Josh Naylor is better vs right-handed pitching. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Naylor has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Slider (R)

46%

Changeup (R)

8% of Sean Reynolds's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Sean Reynolds's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 33%

+19%

Medium Drop 30%

+18%

Breaking (R) 46%

+15%

Small Break 23%

+11%

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +20.7% 4%

Walk +0.4% +2.8% 37%

In Play +6.8% -23.5% 39%

On Base +0.5% -5.4% 31%

Hit +0.1% -8.2% 14%

Single -0.4% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -2.5% 3%

Home Run +0.3% -2.8%

35.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Sean Reynolds induces Standard Grounders at a 28.7% rate, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.0% -5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.7% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +13.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.5% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.8% +11.6% 3%

Pop up +0.6% -3.4%

29.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 17.4% of batted balls allowed by Sean Reynolds are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +11.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +4.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.2% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.2% -6.9%

10.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Sean Reynolds are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%