Matchup Machine

Josh Naylor

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matchup for Brady Singer

171st out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Brady Singer

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matchup for Josh Naylor

323rd out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Moderate advantage for Naylor
4

Model Prediction

Josh Naylor has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Brady Singer, which is 0.4% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Singer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%23.1%1.9%6.0%15.2%9.0%18.5%
Naylor-0.4-0.5-0.5+0.7-0.7+0.1-0.7
Singer-1.5-0.7-0.8+0.6-0.5-0.7-4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Josh Naylor is better vs right-handed pitching. Brady Singer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Naylor has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brady Singer throws a Sinker 50% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
50%
   Slider (R)
41%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Brady Singer strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% -0.5% 4%         Walk +0.4% -0.6% 37%         In Play +6.8% +1.1% 39%         On Base +0.5% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.1% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.1%

History

Josh Naylor has 21 plate appearances against Brady Singer in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 21 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual21213111200.143
Expected From Contact →4.810.971.212.640.229
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-03Groundout4%96%
2024-09-03Groundout1%98%
2024-09-03Lineout99%
2024-06-06Groundout2%26%73%
2024-06-06Groundout33%66%
2023-09-18Groundout25%75%
2023-09-18Strikeout
2023-09-18Groundout13%87%
2023-07-08Groundout8%92%
2023-07-08Single6%76%19%
2023-07-08Lineout2%43%54%
2023-06-27Strikeout
2023-06-27Groundout3%97%
2023-06-27Field Error
2022-09-30Double35%7%58%
2022-09-30Groundout18%81%
2022-09-30Lineout39%4%57%
2022-09-05Flyout1%98%
2022-09-05Caught Stealing 2B
2022-09-05Home Run92%7%1%
2022-09-05Flyout4%27%1%67%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.