matchup for Logan Allen
matchup for Josh Naylor
9
Josh Naylor has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 2.9% higher than Naylor's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Allen.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.5% | 26.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% |
| Naylor | +2.9 | +2.9 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +2.0 | +0.1 | -5.7 |
| Allen | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.1 | -0.3 | +0.7 | -0.2 | -4.1 |
Josh Naylor is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Naylor has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
38%
Slider (L)
28%
Changeup (L)
14%
Curve (L)
7%
Cutter (L)
5%
21% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
33% of Logan Allen's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Josh Naylor has a D- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Slow Velo
33%
+17%
Medium Break
33%
+14%
Medium Ride
22%
+8%
10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.2%
-2.5%
4%
Walk
+0.4%
+1.5%
37%
In Play
+6.8%
+1.1%
39%
On Base
+0.5%
+6.6%
31%
Hit
+0.1%
+5.1%
14%
Single
-0.4%
+2.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.1%
+3.0%
3%
Home Run
+0.3%
-0.6%
35.5% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. Logan Allen induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.2%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+1.1%
+0.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.7%
+0.5%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-2.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
+3.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
-1.0%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.4%
-0.9%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
+0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-2.7%
+0.1%
3%
Pop up
+0.5%
-0.7%
29.3% of Josh Naylor's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 27.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.7%
-3.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.3%
+1.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.9%
+1.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.1%
-2.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
+5.0%
+2.7%
10.4% of Josh Naylor's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Logan Allen are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.4%
-0.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.1%
-0.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.7%
+0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.5%
+6.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.0%
-2.7%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.0%
-1.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.9%
-0.3%
8%
Above 50°
+1.3%
-1.4%
No History in the last 3 years
