Matchup Machine

Josh Naylor

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matchup for Logan Webb

202nd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Josh Naylor

415th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Leans in favor of Naylor
2

Model Prediction

Josh Naylor has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.7% lower than Naylor's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%23.4%2.2%5.3%16.0%7.3%20.5%
Naylor-1.7-0.2-0.2+0.00.0-1.6+1.4
Webb-1.5-1.3-0.2+0.1-1.2-0.2-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Josh Naylor is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Naylor has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Josh Naylor has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

10.3% of Josh Naylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.2% -0.8% 4%         Walk +0.4% -2.4% 37%         In Play +6.8% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.5% +1.6% 31%         Hit +0.1% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.4% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years