Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Ryan Weathers

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Rafael Devers

484th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers

Rafael Devers has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.8% lower than Devers's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.6%	19.4%	2.2%	4.7%	12.4%	10.3%	31.8%
Devers	-3.8	-2.5	-0.8	-0.6	-1.0	-1.3	+3.5
Weathers	-0.3	-2.2	+0.1	-0.8	-1.5	+1.9	+7.1

Rafael Devers is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Devers has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Rafael Devers has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -2.1% 4%

Walk +0.3% -0.6% 41%

In Play -4.7% +2.7% 39%

On Base -1.3% +0.9% 31%

Hit -1.6% +1.5% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +1.2% -0.5%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +1.2%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +1.1%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%