Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Mason Englert

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Mason Englert

matchup for Rafael Devers

87th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Extreme advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Mason Englert, which is 2.8% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Englert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.1%	24.9%	3.9%	6.4%	14.6%	11.3%	21.6%
Devers	+2.8	+3.0	+0.9	+1.0	+1.1	-0.3	-6.7
Englert	+4.7	+1.1	+0.9	+0.3	-0.1	+3.6	+1.6

Rafael Devers is better vs right-handed pitching. Mason Englert is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Devers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Mason Englert throws a Slider 33% of the time. Rafael Devers has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

33%

4-Seam (R)

29%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

13% of Mason Englert's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 7% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 13%

+7%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

40% of Mason Englert's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 40%

+19%

Slow Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+17%

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Breaking (R) 40%

+9%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Mason Englert strikes out 10.9% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -5.9% 4%

Walk +0.3% -3.9% 41%

In Play -4.7% +9.8% 39%

On Base -1.3% -6.1% 31%

Hit -1.6% -2.2% 14%

Single -1.6% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% -1.7% 3%

Home Run +1.2% +1.7%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Mason Englert induces Standard Grounders at a 26.9% rate, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +1.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% -7.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% +1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +2.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% +3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -1.0% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -0.8%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 31.8% of batted balls allowed by Mason Englert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% -5.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% +1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +7.5%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 16.5% of batted balls allowed by Mason Englert are hit at this angle, which is 5.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.3% -1.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% -4.6% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +4.7% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% -3.9% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +5.0% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% 0.0%

Rafael Devers has 2 plate appearances against Mason Englert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00			0.004

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-31	Flyout				99%
2023-04-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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