matchup for Cole Ragans
matchup for Rafael Devers
5
Rafael Devers has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 1.5% lower than Devers's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Ragans.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.4% | 15.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 36.1% |
| Devers | -1.5 | -5.6 | -1.1 | -1.3 | -3.2 | +4.1 | +5.5 |
| Ragans | +1.3 | -3.1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -2.0 | +4.4 | +6.7 |
Rafael Devers is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Devers has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Rafael Devers has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
42%
Changeup (L)
24%
Cutter (L)
13%
Slider (L)
10%
Kn-Curve (L)
6%
21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Weak Challenge
7%
-2%
43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
43%
+22%
Offspeed (L)
24%
+12%
Very Fast Velo
14%
+11%
High Ride
20%
+10%
17.5% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+4.8%
+4.7%
4%
Walk
+0.9%
+1.2%
42%
In Play
-5.7%
-5.9%
39%
On Base
-1.1%
-1.8%
31%
Hit
-2.0%
-3.1%
14%
Single
-1.8%
-1.6%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.3%
-1.2%
3%
Home Run
+1.1%
-0.2%
34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
+2.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.0%
-3.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.3%
+2.0%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.5%
+2.1%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.3%
+0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.3%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.9%
-2.3%
1%
No Doubter
+0.6%
0.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
-2.1%
-1.7%
3%
Pop up
-0.5%
+1.7%
37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 16.3% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 8.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-4.1%
+3.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.3%
0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.9%
+6.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.2%
-1.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+13.6%
-8.0%
9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.2%
+4.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.0%
-6.1%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
+2.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.0%
+1.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.1%
-5.3%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.6%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.6%
+1.5%
8%
Above 50°
+0.3%
+3.7%
Rafael Devers has 9 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with a double and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.68 | 0.247 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-07 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-08-07 | Double | 26% | 57% | 17% | |
| 2024-08-07 | Groundout | 20% | 80% | ||
| 2024-07-12 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-07-12 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-07-12 | Single | 1% | 58% | 41% | |
| 2023-08-07 | Groundout | 2% | 97% | ||
| 2023-08-07 | Groundout | 29% | 70% | ||
| 2023-08-07 | Flyout | 2% | 97% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
