Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Rafael Devers

matchup for Jordan Hicks

402nd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Jordan Hicks

matchup for Rafael Devers

23rd out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Devers

Rafael Devers has a 41.9% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Hicks, which is 8.5% higher than Devers's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Hicks.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	41.9%	26.8%	3.4%	6.1%	17.3%	15.1%	22.0%
Devers	+8.5	+4.9	+0.4	+0.8	+3.8	+3.6	-6.4
Hicks	+3.7	+1.9	+0.7	+0.8	+0.4	+1.7	+1.5

Rafael Devers is better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Hicks is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Devers has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jordan Hicks throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

63%

Slider (R)

25%

Splitter (R)

12% of Jordan Hicks's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 19%

Mid Challenge 11%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

44% of Jordan Hicks's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Rafael Devers has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 44%

+41%

Extreme Break 39%

+24%

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

Just Gravity 27%

+14%

17.2% of Rafael Devers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% higher than the league average. Jordan Hicks strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.4% -1.7% 4%

Walk +0.3% +1.8% 41%

In Play -4.7% -0.1% 39%

On Base -1.3% +2.9% 31%

Hit -1.6% +1.1% 14%

Single -1.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.2% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.2% -0.4%

34.5% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Jordan Hicks induces Standard Grounders at a 41.0% rate, which is 6.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.1% +6.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.3% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% +1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +1.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -1.7% 3%

Pop up -0.5% -1.6%

37.9% of Rafael Devers's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. 27.6% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Hicks are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.0% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.4% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -4.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.6% +3.3%

9.8% of Rafael Devers's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 7.5% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Hicks are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.3% +1.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% -2.8% 18%

7 to 18° -2.0% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -0.1% +4.6% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -3.9% 7%

39 to 50° -0.6% -2.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% -2.4%

Rafael Devers has 2 plate appearances against Jordan Hicks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.45	0.20	0.25	0.00			0.227

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-15	Flyout	20%	25%		55%
2023-05-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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